Probability and Statistics: Making Sense of Randomness
What probability means, how the bell curve works, what z-scores and confidence intervals actually tell you, and why sample size matters.
Why can't you split a pizza evenly among 3 people using decimal slices? Because 1/3 is 0.333... forever — decimals cannot represent it exactly. Fractions can. They are not an outdated notation from grade school; they are the only exact way to express many rational numbers.
A fraction a/b means “a parts out of b equal pieces.” The top number (numerator) is how many pieces you have; the bottom (denominator) is how many pieces make a whole. The fraction 3/4 means three out of four equal parts — 75% of the whole.
You can only add fractions when the denominators match. To add 1/3 + 1/4, find a common denominator (12), convert both fractions, and add:
1/3 + 1/4
= 4/12 + 3/12
= 7/12
Rule: a/b + c/d = (ad + bc) / bdMultiplication is straightforward: multiply across. 2/3 × 4/5 = 8/15. Division flips the second fraction and multiplies: 2/3 ÷ 4/5 = 2/3 × 5/4 = 10/12 = 5/6.
A fraction is in simplest form when the numerator and denominator share no common factor other than 1. To simplify, divide both by their Greatest Common Factor (GCF). For 18/24: GCF(18, 24) = 6, so 18/24 = 3/4.
The GCF is found efficiently using the Euclidean algorithm, which repeatedly divides and takes remainders:
GCF(48, 18):
48 = 2 × 18 + 12
18 = 1 × 12 + 6
12 = 2 × 6 + 0 ← remainder is 0, so GCF = 6Every integer greater than 1 can be written as a product of prime numbers in exactly one way (ignoring order). This is the Fundamental Theorem of Arithmetic and it is why primes are called the “atoms” of number theory.
Prime factorisation of 360:
360 = 2 × 180
= 2 × 2 × 90
= 2 × 2 × 2 × 45
= 2 × 2 × 2 × 3 × 15
= 2 × 2 × 2 × 3 × 3 × 5
= 2³ × 3² × 5Prime factorisation is the backbone of the GCF and LCM. To find the GCF, take the lowest power of each shared prime. For the LCM, take the highest power of every prime that appears.
The LCM of two numbers is the smallest number that both divide into evenly. It answers scheduling questions: if Bus A comes every 12 minutes and Bus B every 8 minutes, when do they arrive together? LCM(12, 8) = 24 — every 24 minutes.
The LCM and GCF are connected: LCM(a, b) = (a × b) / GCF(a, b). This means you never need to compute both from scratch.
A ratio compares two quantities: 3:2 means “for every 3 of this, there are 2 of that.” A proportion says two ratios are equal: 3/4 = 6/8. Cross-multiplying is the standard test: 3 × 8 = 4 × 6 = 24, so they are proportional.
A percentage is simply a fraction with denominator 100. 45% = 45/100 = 9/20. The word “percent” literally means “per hundred” (Latin per centum). Three essential percentage operations:
0.X × Y(X / Y) × 100((new − old) / old) × 100Fractions are not a limitation of mathematics — they are a feature. They give you exact answers where decimals can only approximate.
What probability means, how the bell curve works, what z-scores and confidence intervals actually tell you, and why sample size matters.
Area and volume formulas for every common shape, the Pythagorean theorem, Law of Sines and Cosines, and slope of a line.
Why we need scientific notation, how engineering notation aligns with metric prefixes, logarithms, the quadratic formula, and number bases.