Probability and Statistics: Making Sense of Randomness
What probability means, how the bell curve works, what z-scores and confidence intervals actually tell you, and why sample size matters.
Percentages are everywhere — restaurant tips, store discounts, sales tax, interest rates, battery charge levels. Yet many people freeze when they need to calculate one on the spot. The good news: all percentage math boils down to one simple operation.
Every percentage calculation is a variation of: part = whole x (percent / 100). That is it. Tips, discounts, tax, markups — they all use this same core idea.
To find 20% of $85: 85 x (20 / 100) = 85 x 0.20 = $17.00. Whether that $17 is a tip you are adding or a discount you are subtracting, the calculation is identical.
A tip is a percentage added on top of a bill. The standard range in the US is 15-20% for sit-down restaurants, 10-15% for counter service.
subtotal x tip%/100Etiquette experts recommend tipping on the pre-tax subtotal because the tax goes to the government, not the server. However, tipping on the post-tax total is also common and only adds a small difference (roughly 1-2% more on a typical bill).
A discount is a percentage subtracted from a price. The formula is identical — you just subtract instead of add:
price x discount%/100price - discount amountSales tax is a percentage added to the purchase price. In most US jurisdictions, tax is calculated on the final sale price (after any discounts). The formula:
tax amount = sale price x tax rate / 100
Rates vary by state and city — from 0% (Oregon, Montana) to over 10% (parts of Louisiana, Tennessee). Some states exempt groceries or clothing from sales tax.
Sometimes you know the original and final amounts and need to find the percentage. The reverse formula: percent = (difference / original) x 100.
(80-60)/80 x 100 = 25% discount(60-50)/50 x 100 = 20% tipA common mistake: a 50% increase followed by a 50% decrease does not return to the original value. $100 + 50% = $150. Then $150 - 50% = $75. You lost $25 because the second percentage applies to a different base.
This asymmetry matters in investing, pricing, and inflation calculations. A 20% market drop requires a 25% gain to recover, not 20%.
What probability means, how the bell curve works, what z-scores and confidence intervals actually tell you, and why sample size matters.
Area and volume formulas for every common shape, the Pythagorean theorem, Law of Sines and Cosines, and slope of a line.
How fractions work, why prime factorisation matters, the GCF and LCM connection, ratios, proportions, and percentages as fractions of 100.